Izindaba - Ukwehla kwesilinganiso senzalo se-Federal Reserve esingu-25 basis point, ezinyangeni eziyisishiyagalolunye kamuva, kuzoyithinta kanjani imakethe yensimbi yomhlaba wonke?

NgoSepthemba 18, iFederal Reserve yamemezela ukwehla kwayo kokuqala kwesilinganiso senzalo kusukela ngo-2025. I-Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) yanquma ukunciphisa amazinga enzalo ngamaphuzu angama-25 ayisisekelo, yehlisa ububanzi obuqondiwe besilinganiso sezimali zikahulumeni kuya phakathi kuka-4% no-4.25%. Lesi sinqumo sasihambisana nokulindelwe yimakethe. Lokhu kwaba okokuqala iFed inciphisa amazinga enzalo ezinyangeni eziyisishiyagalolunye kusukela ngoDisemba wonyaka odlule. Phakathi kukaSepthemba noDisemba wonyaka odlule, iFed yanciphisa amazinga enzalo ngamaphuzu ayi-100 ayisisekelo emihlanganweni emithathu, yabe isigcina amazinga ezinzile emihlanganweni emihlanu elandelanayo.

USihlalo weFederal Reserve uPowell uthe engqungqutheleni yabezindaba ukuthi lokhu kunciphisa izinga kwakuyisinqumo sokuphathwa kwezingozi nokuthi ukulungiswa okusheshayo kwezinga lenzalo kwakungadingeki. Lokhu kusikisela ukuthi i-Fed ngeke ingene emjikelezweni oqhubekayo wokunciphisa izinga, okuzopholisa umuzwa wemakethe.

Abahlaziyi bakhomba ukuthi ukunciphisa izinga le-Fed okungu-25 basis point kungabhekwa njengokunciphisa "okuvimbelayo", okusho ukuthi kukhulula imali eyengeziwe ukuze kukhuthazwe umsebenzi wezomnotho, kusekelwe imakethe yemisebenzi, futhi kuvinjelwe ingozi yokufika kanzima komnotho wase-US.

Imakethe ilindele ukuthi iFederal Reserve iqhubeke nokunciphisa amazinga enzalo kulo nyaka.

Uma kuqhathaniswa nokuncishiswa kwamanani ngokwawo, izimpawu zenqubomgomo ezilandelayo ezivezwe umhlangano we-Federal Reserve kaSepthemba zibaluleke kakhulu, futhi imakethe iqaphela kakhulu ijubane lokunciphisa amanani e-Fed esikhathini esizayo.

Abahlaziyi bakhomba ukuthi umthelela wentela ekukhuphukeni kwamandla emali e-US uzofinyelela esicongweni sekota yesine. Ngaphezu kwalokho, imakethe yezabasebenzi e-US isalokhu ibuthakathaka, kanti izinga lokungasebenzi kulindeleke ukuthi liqhubeke nokukhuphuka liye ku-4.5%. Uma idatha yomholo ka-Okthoba engeyona eyezolimo iqhubeka nokuwa ngaphansi kuka-100,000, ukwehliswa okwengeziwe kwamanani ngoDisemba kungenzeka kakhulu. Ngakho-ke, i-Fed kulindeleke ukuthi inciphise amazinga enzalo ngamaphuzu angama-25 ngo-Okthoba nangoDisemba, okwenza inani libe ngamaphuzu angama-75, kathathu ngonyaka.

Namuhla, imakethe yesikhathi esizayo yensimbi yaseShayina ibone izinzuzo eziningi kunokulahlekelwa, kanti amanani ajwayelekile emakethe akhuphuka kuwo wonke amabhodi. Lokhu kufaka phakathii-rebar, Imisebe ye-H, insimbiamakhoyili, imichilo yensimbi, amapayipi ensimbi kanye nepuleti lensimbi.

Ngokusekelwe emibonweni engenhla, iRoyal Steel Group yeluleka amakhasimende:

1. Khiya ngokushesha amanani e-oda lesikhashana: Sebenzisa ithuba lesikhathi lapho izinga lokushintshanisa lamanje lingabonisanga ngokugcwele ukwehla kwamanani okulindelekile bese usayina izinkontileka zentengo eqondile nabaphakeli. Ukuvala amanani amanje kugwema ukwanda kwezindleko zokuthenga ngenxa yokushintshashintsha kwesilinganiso sokushintshanisa kamuva.

2. Qapha ijubane lokwehliswa kwenzalo okulandelayo:I-dot plot ye-Fed iphakamisa okunye ukuncishiswa kwamazinga angu-50 basis point ngaphambi kokuphela kuka-2025. Uma idatha yokuqashwa yase-US iqhubeka nokuwohloka, lokhu kungabangela ukuncishiswa kwamanani okungalindelekile, okwandisa ingcindezi ku-RMB ukuthi ikhule. Amakhasimende ayelulekwa ukuthi aqaphe eduze ithuluzi le-CME Fed Watch futhi alungise izinhlelo zokuthenga ngendlela eguquguqukayo.